Sunday
Herald. August 24, 2014.
It
all sounded ominous. “English backlash”; “Scots will pay a
heavy price”; “English reject”: no matter the ending, the
independence referendum would be tear-stained. Salty tears, too,
familiar to those greetin'-faced Jocks.
In
headline patois, the proposition was this: vote Yes and you'll be
sorry; vote No and it's sorrow all the way. Affirm independence and
you can forget a shared currency or a helping hand internationally.
Reject independence and the bribes will stop. We'll have you by the
Barnett consequentials. Westminster over-representation no more. West
Lothian Question no more.
G.K.
Chesterton's people of England, the ones who've “never spoken yet”,
appeared to suffer a change of heart. That they spoke through a
sociological survey didn't add much to the poetry. That they were
talking through researchers in Edinburgh and Cardiff was a small
contribution to the irony stockpile. The crack of backlash, predicted
so long and so eagerly by some, was loud.
Well,
yes and no (so to speak). The latest instalment of the Future of
England survey of 3,695 adults, conducted by YouGov as part of
research by the universities of Cardiff and Edinburgh, had a discord
in the battle hymn. When they were done backlashing, the (surveyed)
people of England expressed a wish – 59% to 19% – for the United
Kingdom to continue. There was a nuance to their alleged
exasperation.
It
was as much as to say: stick around, and welcome, but we're changing
the terms of the lease. Stick around – for we like having you
around – but once you've done trashing the place you'll pay your
whack, or lose the privileges we granted. No more hush money. No more
hogging the parliamentary conversation. And if you must flounce off,
don't come running to us for a sub or a reference. But, Scotland,
please don't go.
Otherwise,
the stats spoke. So 56% to 12% were reported as believing that levels
of public spending in Scotland should be cut to levels – notional
and in practical terms fictitious – called the UK average. So the
claim on a post-independence currency union was rejected by 53% and
supported by just 23%. So 62% said Scots MPs should be banned from
voting on “England-only” laws. Yon Malcolm Rifkind (member for
Kensington) is presumably intolerable.
In
one question, the largest number (36%) thought the residual UK should
have no truck with supporting Scotland's membership of the EU and
Nato. Elsewhere, fully 37% (against 21%) agreed that England and
Scotland are drifting apart regardless. A big number – 53% against
10% – denied the claim promoted by Alex Salmond that it will be
happy families after independence.
The
survey found some English pragmatism to suit the Scottish majority
taste. There were 42% (to 25%) prepared to say that Holyrood should
control “most” of domestic taxation, given the removal of what's
called a subsidy, in the event of a No vote. There was a better than
two-thirds showing that border controls would be a nonsense in the
event of Yes. Still, it all made the “Scotland, don't go” idea
seem anomalous.
Personally,
I've always thought it the easiest arguments for independence. If you
happen to be English, and if you happen to be fed up with what you
call Anglophobia, and griping subsidy junkies, and the denial of
English democracy, and appeasement of the northern neighbours, and
Scots who refuse to see what's glorious about Britain, put your back
into Yes. It can all be solved in a few weeks.
That
pat solution would not answer all of England's questions, however.
For one thing, the survey findings seem (to me) to have far less to
do with a backlash, or with an animosity towards Scotland, than with
Chesterton's ordinary folk speaking up, finally, to say “What about
us?” Those ordinary people are less interested in withdrawing
public spending or the chance of democracy from Scots than in asking
why they can't have the same. A very good question.
A
truly representative parliament? An NHS still holding out against
private sector zombies? Free, mostly free, personal care for the
elderly? So on and ever on. If you happen to be in Liverpool or
Newcastle and contending with a government that, as usual, you didn't
vote for, what might you say? You might say Scots are subsidised
while you struggle. You might notice one set of numbers and ignore
another to show the first isn't true. But you will find a reason to
speak, finally.
The
singer Billy Bragg and a few others have pursued this line for a
while. They treat a Yes vote in Scotland as an opportunity, even an
inducement, for England. They see profound imbalances and
inequalities in that country, especially in the relationship between
overbearing London and the rest, and they accept that it might not be
Scotland's job to make up the numbers should progressive England
falter. It is an idea of solidarity by inspiration and emulation.
Pick
the bits out of the survey stew and you find some sense. If Scotland
can say it is not well-served by the nexus of Westminster, City and
media, much of England can say the same. If public spending is
supposed to reflect wealth transfers within the UK –
redistribution, by the honest word – the draining of treasure into
the English south-east bleeds that country's north. Keeping the UK
intact for the sake of a few dozen Scottish Labour parliamentary
votes alters nothing.
Ken
Livingstone used to like to remind Scots that some boroughs in his
London were as poor as any districts in the islands. This was, and
is, absolutely true. It was also beside the point. Part of the reason
why England's democracy needs to be broken apart on the wheel of
devolution is to prove that you needn't point a finger at others to
get justice for yourself. All the habit achieves is cheap
entertainment for the Tory back benches.
An
English majority for a continuing UK would suggest that animosities,
where they exist, do not run deep. The desperate search for demented
Scottish phobias has meanwhile not been well-rewarded. The
cheering-for-all during the Commonwealth Games turns out to have been
more typical than the Daily Mail's internet whack-a-mole cybernat
hunts. True hatred between Scotland and England is as hard to come by
as truly irrational people.
The
sole reason to worry comes from those behind the headline trench
warfare. Did they want that English backlash so badly? Did they
reason that Scots would react, for we have form, to old-fashioned
provocation and show our colours as – what's the formula? - ethnic
separatists with weird notions about our neighbours? It didn't work.
It won't work. There's a detail to explain that, available to anyone
with a clipboard. It's not true.
Just
before the First World War, G.K. Chesterton published a novel
containing a few poems. One of those has to do with St George. The
writer called it “The Englishman”. I always think the last lines
would suit those who sit in London offices and yearn for a resentful
England.
But
though he is jolly company
And
very pleased to dine,
It
isn't safe to give him nuts
Unless
you give him wine.
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